Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 84.596457 94.543088 104.675189 115.737568 127.445407 139.439029 152.625570
2025-08-03 67.992456 82.256614 97.410857 114.583091 133.381519 153.224798 175.646685
2025-08-10 58.859143 75.596308 93.934815 115.261340 139.139924 164.835772 194.367901
2025-08-17 50.959476 69.277407 89.930594 114.510940 142.573241 173.262614 209.027148
2025-08-24 45.151592 64.701943 87.324135 114.798228 146.686889 182.030957 223.687803
2025-08-31 39.519188 59.785907 83.858152 113.675258 148.830297 188.282261 235.262536
2025-09-07 35.972048 57.094693 82.758802 115.078786 153.678386 197.432123 249.963109
2025-09-14 33.060161 54.941516 82.100202 116.824676 158.776984 206.753184 264.765651
2025-09-21 29.317379 51.392686 79.465040 115.964800 160.616769 212.164259 274.965421
2025-09-28 25.383518 47.258542 75.830815 113.652822 160.531451 215.177303 282.263719
2025-10-05 24.432515 47.175764 77.357787 117.727290 168.136622 227.218924 300.060092
2025-10-12 22.960886 46.225126 77.657231 120.184027 173.719543 236.836073 315.005806
2025-10-19 20.498355 43.667672 75.725823 119.749208 175.744350 242.251630 325.090136
2025-10-26 18.099016 41.002961 73.506548 118.832469 177.091694 246.803213 334.123320
2025-11-02 16.437253 39.335060 72.553912 119.483688 180.332787 253.588715 345.770920
2025-11-09 14.503619 37.050074 70.609370 118.724064 181.718749 258.069008 354.628340
2025-11-16 13.049362 35.422270 69.507617 119.016362 184.385261 264.071292 365.280876
2025-11-23 11.349812 33.193332 67.411414 117.869900 185.137951 267.675173 373.009512
2025-11-30 10.445275 32.298328 67.232712 119.302953 189.188732 275.325313 385.615584
2025-12-07 9.694627 31.615438 67.328902 121.085394 193.674947 283.506552 398.866245
2025-12-14 8.418919 29.776109 65.565479 120.207546 194.637287 287.274920 406.730541
2025-12-21 6.975418 27.390742 62.820985 117.846968 193.572730 288.454987 411.391623
2025-12-28 6.899013 27.884903 64.650239 122.006810 201.150463 300.486007 429.350519